Positive ProgressionIntermediate

1-3-2-6

A four-step win ladder that banks profit mid-cycle: worst case −2 units, full cycle +12.

01

Overview

The 1-3-2-6 stakes one, three, two, then six units across four consecutive wins, resetting on any loss or a completed cycle. The odd-looking order is the point: after the risky three-unit second step, you pull four units of profit off the table before pressing again.

That mid-cycle skim gives the system its signature ledger — break anywhere past step two and the cycle still ends flat or ahead. The full run of four banks twelve units; the worst possible cycle loses just two.

02

How It Works

  1. 1

    Step one: 1 unit

    Open the cycle with one unit on your even-money lane. A loss here costs one unit; restart.

  2. 2

    Step two: 3 units

    After a win you hold 2 units of profit — add one of your own and bet 3. This is the only step where the cycle risks your own money beyond the opener.

  3. 3

    Step three: 2 units

    Two wins in, you hold 6 units. Bank four, bet 2. Even a loss here ends the cycle +2.

  4. 4

    Step four: 6 units

    Three wins in, you hold 8 units. Bet 6 of them: a loss still exits the cycle at break-even; a win completes it at +12.

  5. 5

    Reset, always

    Whether the cycle broke or completed, the next bet is one unit. There is no fifth step.

03

The Bets

One even-money lane throughout the cycle — Player keeps each step's arithmetic exact. A popular gentler variant, 1-3-2-4, bets four on the last step instead of six and guarantees +2 units once step three is reached.

04

Example Sequence

A complete cycle with a $10 unit on Player:

HandBetResultNetRunning
1$10 Player (1u)Win+$10+$10
2$30 Player (3u)Win+$30+$40
3$20 Player (2u)Win+$20+$60
4$60 Player (6u)Win+$60+$120

Four straight wins bank twelve units. Had hand 2 lost, the cycle would have cost only $20; hands 3 or 4 losing would still have exited at +$20 or $0.

05

The Math

Cycle outcomes with a fair-ish coin (even-money baccarat wins ≈ 49–51% of resolved hands): lose step one (−1u) about half the time; lose step two (−2u) about a quarter; lose step three (+2u) roughly an eighth; lose step four (0u) about a sixteenth; complete the cycle (+12u) about one in sixteen.

Sum those against the true probabilities and the expected value per cycle is the same slow leak as flat betting the equivalent stakes — the edge is untouched. What the ladder engineers is the distribution: three-quarters of cycles end −2 units or better, and the catastrophic tail simply doesn't exist because nothing ever escalates after a loss.

1-3-2-6 is bankroll engineering, not edge engineering. Its promise is a hard floor — no sequence of hands can cost more than 2 units per cycle — never a raised ceiling.
06

Bankroll Guide

Starting bankroll$5,000
Unit size$10–$25 (0.2–0.5%)
Worst cycle−2 units
Stop-loss−$400 (8%)
Take-profitOne completed cycle (+12 units)

Even at a $25 unit the largest ladder bet is $150 — nowhere near the $1,000 table max. Twenty consecutive worst-case cycles would cost $1,000, which is why the stop-loss triggers long before the system can.

07

When to Walk Away

  • A full cycle completes — +12 units is the day's ceiling, take it
  • Session is down 8% of bankroll
  • You consider re-ordering the steps to 'front-load' wins
  • Ties keep interrupting cycles and you feel the urge to bet them

The ladder's floor only holds if you never improvise. Betting 6 units at step two, or 'one more' after a completed cycle, removes the exact property — capped downside — that makes this system worth running at all.

Try it at the table

$5,000 in virtual chips, no sign-up. Run the 1-3-2-6 against a real shoe and let the roads keep score.

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